How much revenue did Midnight Heist make?

$36k–$97k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Midnight Heist sell?

Q: How many copies did Midnight Heist sell?

13k to 21k copies, based on its 527 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–21k; $36k–$97k after Steam's cut $65k–$149k before Steam's cut; from 527 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Midnight Heist and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Midnight Heist's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.7M

best case 12.1M (DOOM)

Games like Midnight Heist

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.7M copies

≈ $8.1M–$19.7M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DOOM at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Gore, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Multiplayer + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DOOM 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	222k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSGore
Thief 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	24k reviews Mostly Positive	StealthAction
Pony Island 2016	Est. copies ≈ 755k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$4.99	18k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleIndie
Crime Scene Cleaner 2024	Est. copies ≈ 858k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCrime
Prey 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	55k reviews Very Positive	Sci-fiImmersive Sim
Hacknet 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	26k reviews Very Positive	HackingSimulation
The Evil Within 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
SIMULACRA 3 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut	$9.99	367 reviews Mixed	Immersive SimInteractive Fiction