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How many copies did DG2: Defense Grid 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 194k–315k
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $969k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DG2: Defense Grid 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DG2: Defense Grid 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 158k–235k
best case 499k (Legion TD 2 - Multiplayer Tower Defense)
Games like DG2: Defense Grid 2

A typical game among these

≈ 158k–235k copies

≈ $901k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Legion TD 2 - Multiplayer Tower Defense at ≈ 380k–617k copies, ≈ $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (8 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sanctum
2011
Est. copies
≈ 213k–345k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Sanctum 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Legion TD 2 - Multiplayer Tower Defense
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseMultiplayer
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 95k–155k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $715k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Mixed
ActionTower Defense
Outpost: Infinity Siege
2024
Est. copies
≈ 338k–550k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Mixed
Robots3D
AI War 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$247k–$665k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon of the ENDLESS™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 787k–1.3M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
X-Morph: Defense
2017
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy

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