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How many copies did Burst Hero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 106 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Burst Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Burst Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–115k
best case 160k (Voidigo)
Games like Burst Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 20k–115k copies

≈ $230k–$653k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Voidigo at ≈ 122k–199k copies, ≈ $168k–$451k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 492 reviews in their first month; the range was 44 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (8 of 8) and Twin Stick Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Twin Stick Shooter, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Voidigo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$168k–$451k after Steam's cut $305k–$694k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Nex Machina
2017
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$416k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $756k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
X Invader
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$4.99
580 reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpArena Shooter
God's Trigger
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$120k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-Down ShooterAction Roguelike
Retrograde Arena
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
538 reviews
Very Positive
Chippy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$141k–$379k after Steam's cut $256k–$582k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Waves 2: Notorious
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
327 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Renegade Ops
2011
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$755k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$15.00
3k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.