How much revenue did Caribbean Legend make?

$884k–$2.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Caribbean Legend sell?

Q: How many copies did Caribbean Legend sell?

80k to 131k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 80k–131k; $884k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Caribbean Legend and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Caribbean Legend's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 563k–1.1M

best case 12.2M (Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition)

Games like Caribbean Legend

A typical game among these

≈ 563k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.2M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $101.9M–$273.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Pirates (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Pirates, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Online Co-Op + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2005 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sid Meier's Pirates! 2005	Est. copies ≈ 478k–777k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Very Positive	PiratesOpen World
Blackwake 2020	Est. copies ≈ 646k–1.0M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Very Positive	PiratesMultiplayer
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.2M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut $39.0M–$88.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	79k reviews Very Positive	PiratesOpen World
Risen 2: Dark Waters 2012	Est. copies ≈ 430k–698k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGPirates
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 25x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $101.9M–$273.9M after Steam's cut $185.2M–$421.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	374k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOpen World
Blazing Sails 2023	Est. copies ≈ 267k–433k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Co-opNaval Combat
Naval Action 2019	Est. copies ≈ 428k–695k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Mixed	SailingNaval Combat
Assassin’s Creed® Rogue 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAssassin