How much revenue did Forest Fire make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Forest Fire sell?

Q: How many copies did Forest Fire sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 76 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Forest Fire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Forest Fire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–297k

best case 13.9M (R.E.P.O.)

Games like Forest Fire

A typical game among these

≈ 45k–297k copies

≈ $365k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Platformer (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: R.E.P.O. at ≈ 10.6M–17.2M copies, ≈ $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 429 to 67k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Platformer (2 of 8) and Comedy (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Comedy, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Horror + Online Co-Op + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
R.E.P.O. 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10.6M–17.2M 196x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	427k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
ALTF4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 268k–435k 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut	$2.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	RunnerPhysics
ALTF42 2024	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut	$7.99	575 reviews Mostly Positive	ComedyFantasy
Bootstrap Island 2026	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $247k–$663k after Steam's cut $448k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessSurvival
Lumencraft 2023	Est. copies ≈ 32k–52k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $176k–$472k after Steam's cut $320k–$727k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationAction
HighFleet 2021	Est. copies ≈ 185k–300k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	7k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerIndie
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor 2020	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $296k–$796k after Steam's cut $538k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k 10x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic