How much revenue did Lumencraft make?

$176k–$472k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lumencraft sell?

Q: How many copies did Lumencraft sell?

32k to 52k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 32k–52k; $176k–$472k after Steam's cut $320k–$727k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lumencraft and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lumencraft's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.3M–24.9M

best case 32.0M (Cyberpunk 2077)

Games like Lumencraft

A typical game among these

≈ 11.3M–24.9M copies

≈ $158.6M–$351.5M after Steam's cut

from ~402k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.4M–39.6M copies, ≈ $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 121k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 326k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 24.4M–39.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	983k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Monster Hunter: World 2018	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	518k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer