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How many copies did Soul's Spectrum sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 51 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Soul's Spectrum and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Soul's Spectrum's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 992k–3.4M
best case 5.8M (Stray)
Games like Soul's Spectrum

A typical game among these

≈ 992k–3.4M copies

≈ $9.6M–$29.7M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Stray at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Cyberpunk, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Antichamber
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Rat Prison
2021
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
18 reviews
Mixed
Survival HorrorExploration
ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
179k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure

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