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How many copies did Autumn-Time Trade-Up sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Autumn-Time Trade-Up and predicted how it would do from its 11 similar games. Every figure here, including Autumn-Time Trade-Up's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–56k
best case 104k (轮回修仙路)
Games like Autumn-Time Trade-Up

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–56k copies

≈ $37k–$591k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 11 similar games are hits.

Best case: 轮回修仙路 at ≈ 79k–129k copies, ≈ $370k–$996k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 152 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Time Management (6 of 11) and Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 11).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Rogue-lite, priced around $17.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 11 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bleeding Border
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Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$15k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
$4.99
231 reviews
Mixed
Choose Your Own AdventureFPS
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience
2020
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
1.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $711k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureTime Management
Mind Scanners
2021
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$171k–$460k after Steam's cut $311k–$708k before Steam's cut
$16.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Time ManagementDystopian
Stop Dead
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$14.99
102 reviews
Very Positive
Early Access3D Platformer
Apple Bang!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$557–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
41 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
轮回修仙路
2023
Est. copies
≈ 79k–129k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$370k–$996k after Steam's cut $674k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$16.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Pumping Simulator 2
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Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$139k–$372k after Steam's cut $252k–$573k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual
Bakery Magnate: Beginning
2020
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimSimulation
Heavy Burden
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$11.99
406 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualAdventure
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$473k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $859k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerAction-Adventure
For the People
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$95k–$255k after Steam's cut $173k–$393k before Steam's cut
$16.99
819 reviews
Mostly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.