How much revenue did Earl vs. the Mutants make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Earl vs. the Mutants sell?

Q: How many copies did Earl vs. the Mutants sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 145 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut; from 145 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Earl vs. the Mutants and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Earl vs. the Mutants's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–117k

best case 5.8M (Mad Max)

Games like Earl vs. the Mutants

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–117k copies

≈ $295k–$488k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mad Max at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (5 of 8) and Vehicular Combat (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Vehicular Combat, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Open World + Vehicular Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mad Max 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M 66x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	91k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldVehicular Combat
Hard Truck Apocalypse / Ex Machina 2014	Est. copies ≈ 154k–251k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticAutomobile Sim
RAGE 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 492k–799k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	17k reviews Mixed	ActionFPS
Post Apocalyptic Mayhem 2011	Est. copies ≈ 96k–156k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $264k–$711k after Steam's cut $481k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RacingAction
Insect Swarm 2024	Est. copies ≈ 67k–108k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut	$6.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FlightShooter
Badlands Crew - Drive, Command, Conquer 2025	Est. copies ≈ 31k–50k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $160k–$431k after Steam's cut $291k–$663k before Steam's cut	$18.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyVehicular Combat
Titan Attacks! 2012	Est. copies ≈ 62k–100k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $170k–$457k after Steam's cut $309k–$702k before Steam's cut	$9.99	978 reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterSide Scroller
Death Skid Marks 2014	Est. copies ≈ 46k–74k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	818 reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie