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How many copies did Card Detective sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 189 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Card Detective and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Card Detective's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16k–31k
best case 223k (Depersonalization)
Games like Card Detective

A typical game among these

≈ 16k–31k copies

≈ $92k–$165k after Steam's cut

from ~513 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Depersonalization at ≈ 170k–277k copies, ≈ $936k–$2.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 276 reviews in their first month; the range was 171 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (6 of 8) and Card Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Lovecraftian + Investigation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Lovecraftian + Pixel Graphics + Investigation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ancient Enemy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
$16.99
513 reviews
Very Positive
Art Reborn: Painting Connoisseur
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$6.99
361 reviews
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SimulationCasual
FreeCell Quest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$69k–$185k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
$9.99
513 reviews
Mostly Positive
SolitaireCard Battler
Meteorfall: Krumit's Tale
2020
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $168k–$382k before Steam's cut
$14.99
903 reviews
Very Positive
Card GameRogue-lite
Dream Sketcher
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
$11.99
496 reviews
Mixed
RPGChoices Matter
Depersonalization
2024
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$936k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
LovecraftianPixel Graphics
Shadowhand: RPG Card Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 28k–46k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$550k before Steam's cut
$16.99
828 reviews
Very Positive
Ash of Gods: The Way
2023
Est. copies
≈ 13k–20k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$86k–$232k after Steam's cut $157k–$357k before Steam's cut
$24.99
506 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterTurn-Based Strategy

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