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How big is Kagura Survivors: Endless Night?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 69k–113k
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kagura Survivors: Endless Night and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kagura Survivors: Endless Night's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–2.6M
best case 6.6M (Lost Ark)
Games like Kagura Survivors: Endless Night

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–2.6M copies

≈ $16.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Lost Ark at ≈ 5.0M–8.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 35k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 128k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (2 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Action RPG, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Character Customization + Massively Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blade and Sorcery
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Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
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62k reviews
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VRSwordplay
Lost Ark
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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Free
Free
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MMORPGFree to Play
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Source Filmmaker
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
44k reviews
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Animation & ModelingFree to Play
Realm Royale Reforged
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Battle RoyaleFree to Play
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$32.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Russian Fishing 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
1.6x vs typical
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Free
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91k reviews
Mixed
FishingMultiplayer

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