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How many copies did Apocalypse Party sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 135k–219k
$371k–$998k after Steam's cut $675k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Apocalypse Party and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Apocalypse Party's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 807k–2.0M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Apocalypse Party

A typical game among these

≈ 807k–2.0M copies

≈ $3.3M–$7.5M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Bad North: Jotunn Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–709k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
WargameVikings
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
Nova Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 364k–592k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRogue-like
PlateUp!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 675k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive

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