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How many copies did Earth Defense Force: Insect Armageddon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 73k–119k
$201k–$540k after Steam's cut $365k–$830k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Earth Defense Force: Insect Armageddon and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Earth Defense Force: Insect Armageddon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 139k–505k
best case 576k (EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair)
Games like Earth Defense Force: Insect Armageddon

A typical game among these

≈ 139k–505k copies

≈ $962k–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair at ≈ 439k–714k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (7 of 7) and Robots (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Co-op, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2016, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 52 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Minimum
2014
Est. copies
≈ 222k–360k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
ActionThird-Person Shooter
Guns and Robots
2014
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayAction
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 439k–714k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
Iron Brigade
2012
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStrategy
Binary Domain
2012
Est. copies
≈ 526k–855k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
McDROID
2014
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$138k before Steam's cut
$9.99
217 reviews
Mostly Positive
Third-Person ShooterTower Defense
Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition
2007
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$587k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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