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How many copies did Spellstrife sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spellstrife and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spellstrife's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 80k–129k
best case 881k (Darkest Dungeon® II)
Games like Spellstrife

A typical game among these

≈ 80k–129k copies

≈ $294k–$749k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® II at ≈ 671k–1.1M copies, ≈ $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 901 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Rogue-like, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Inkbound
2024
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$824k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Slice & Dice
2024
Est. copies
≈ 64k–105k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$159k–$428k after Steam's cut $290k–$659k before Steam's cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyRogue-like
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
挂机神话
2023
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerCasual
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
Alina of the Arena
2022
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $738k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
LONESTAR
2025
Est. copies
≈ 61k–99k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$217k–$583k after Steam's cut $394k–$896k before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy

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