How much revenue did Lucky Hero make?

$8k–$23k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lucky Hero sell?

Q: How many copies did Lucky Hero sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 112 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut; from 112 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lucky Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucky Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 243k–410k

best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Lucky Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 243k–410k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M 25x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 23x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	DiceRoguelike Deckbuilder
Dicey Dungeons 2019	Est. copies ≈ 343k–558k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
9 Kings 2025	Est. copies ≈ 580k–942k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRogue-like
Wildfrost 2023	Est. copies ≈ 220k–357k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerDifficult
Backpack Hero 2023	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Replay ValueTurn-Based
Shogun Showdown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Replay ValueStrategy RPG