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How many copies did SimpleTD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$220–$590 after Steam's cut $400–$907 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SimpleTD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SimpleTD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–974k
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like SimpleTD

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–974k copies

≈ $5k–$121k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 201 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (5 of 8) and Base-Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dr. Professor Scientist's Weapons Testing Facility
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Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$4.99
77 reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseGun Customization
Kingdom: Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Project Astra Dominium
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$9.99
89 reviews
Very Positive
NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
The Riftbreaker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingTower Defense
miniBONG
2023
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$272k before Steam's cut
$9.99
965 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIdler
The Riftbreaker: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingStrategy
Tuttle: Star Flower Harvest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$5.99
41 reviews
Positive
Hack and SlashTower Defense

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.