How much revenue did miniBONG make?

$66k–$177k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did miniBONG sell?

Q: How many copies did miniBONG sell?

24k to 39k copies, based on its 965 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 24k–39k; $66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$272k before Steam's cut; from 965 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid miniBONG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including miniBONG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27.0M–40.1M

best case 37.7M (ELDEN RING)

Games like miniBONG

A typical game among these

≈ 27.0M–40.1M copies

≈ $319.3M–$718.1M after Steam's cut

from ~769k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Third Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ELDEN RING at ≈ 28.7M–46.6M copies, ≈ $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 297k reviews in their first month; the range was 76k to 347k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Third Person (4 of 8) and Character Customization (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.7M–46.6M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
Warframe 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.9M–69.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	678k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAction RPG
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 24.4M–39.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	983k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Monster Hunter: World 2018	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	518k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer