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How many copies did Brawl Tactics: Origins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 992–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 40 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Brawl Tactics: Origins and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Brawl Tactics: Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 151k–498k
best case 749k (Monster Train)
Games like Brawl Tactics: Origins

A typical game among these

≈ 151k–498k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 570k–927k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Deckbuilding (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles
2023
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Griftlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 359k–584k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Tainted Grail: Conquest
2021
Est. copies
≈ 208k–338k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
DeckbuildingCard Game
HELLCARD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$797k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Peglin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 439k–714k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Shogun Showdown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 176k–286k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Replay ValueStrategy RPG
Roguebook
2021
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$783k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.