How much revenue did Absurd Story: Back Home make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Absurd Story: Back Home sell?

Q: How many copies did Absurd Story: Back Home sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 50 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut; from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Absurd Story: Back Home and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Absurd Story: Back Home's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 759k–2.5M

best case 2.8M (A Plague Tale: Innocence)

Games like Absurd Story: Back Home

A typical game among these

≈ 759k–2.5M copies

≈ $2.3M–$18.9M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Plague Tale: Innocence at ≈ 2.1M–3.4M copies, ≈ $23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 515 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Stealth, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	41k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
A Plague Tale: Innocence 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut $42.0M–$95.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	73k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip 2023	Est. copies ≈ 599k–973k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $657k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$3.99	24k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Puzzle
The Last Campfire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Sally Face - Episode One 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Psychological Horror
Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericHistorical
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG