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How many copies did Winken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Winken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 832–1k
best case 10k (Steno Arcade)
Games like Winken

A typical game among these

≈ 832–1k copies

≈ $387–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~28 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Steno Arcade at ≈ 8k–12k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 144 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (6 of 8) and Music (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Sports, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Sports + Audio Production; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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4.6x vs typical
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SimulationCasual
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ArcadeMusic
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RhythmAudio Production
EasyPianoGame
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CasualRhythm
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LogicArcade
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MusicVisual Novel

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