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How many copies did Mound of Music sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mound of Music and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mound of Music's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–112k
best case 272k (MUSYNX)
Games like Mound of Music

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–112k copies

≈ $162k–$753k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: MUSYNX at ≈ 207k–336k copies, ≈ $227k–$610k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 607 reviews in their first month; the range was 49 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (7 of 8) and Music (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music, priced around $4.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
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Early AccessRhythm
MUSYNX
2018
Est. copies
≈ 207k–336k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$227k–$610k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut
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RhythmMusic
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Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
5.9x vs typical
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RhythmMinigames
Symphonic Rain
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Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$476k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $866k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
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Touhou Danmaku Kagura Phantasia Lost
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MusicAction
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≈ 10k–16k
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Very Positive
Early AccessSingleplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.