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How big is Steno Arcade?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 8k–12k
from 183 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Steno Arcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Steno Arcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–4.7M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Steno Arcade

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–4.7M copies

≈ $7.8M–$20.1M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Music (6 of 8) and Rhythm (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Level Editor + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Mafia II (Classic)
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$5.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Hi-Fi RUSH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmAction
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm
My Singing Monsters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
50k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorSimulation
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm

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