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How many copies did Nightwatch: Nightmare Creatures sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nightwatch: Nightmare Creatures and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nightwatch: Nightmare Creatures's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–63k
best case 4.6M (Fallout 76)
Games like Nightwatch: Nightmare Creatures

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–63k copies

≈ $26k–$141k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fallout 76 at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 355 reviews in their first month; the range was 34 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and Capitalism (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Base-Building + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ORDER 13
2025
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$94k–$253k after Steam's cut $171k–$389k before Steam's cut
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2k reviews
Very Positive
Sorry We're Open
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$7.99
150 reviews
Very Positive
RPGHorror
Arctic Eggs
2024
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CookingPhysics
Maurice: In The Predator's Nest
2022
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerAction
Fallout 76
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
133x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
141k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer
中年失业模拟器When a man lose his job
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$54k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$7.99
366 reviews
Mostly Positive
CapitalismExploration
Suits: A Business RPG
2016
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$50k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RPGDark Comedy
Unsafe Express
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
$11.99
281 reviews
Mixed
Online Co-OpHorror

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.