How much revenue did Magical Bakery make?

$7k–$18k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Magical Bakery sell?

Q: How many copies did Magical Bakery sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 66 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut; from 66 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magical Bakery and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Bakery's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 87k–772k

best case 906k (Coral Island)

Games like Magical Bakery

A typical game among these

≈ 87k–772k copies

≈ $166k–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Coral Island at ≈ 690k–1.1M copies, ≈ $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 29 to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Character Customization (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Coral Island 2023	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimLife Sim
Mars Base 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$19.99	45 reviews Mixed	Farming SimExploration
Staxel 2019	Est. copies ≈ 139k–226k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Farming SimCharacter Customization
ATLYSS 2024	Est. copies ≈ 572k–930k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RPGRPG
Sonic Forces 2017	Est. copies ≈ 298k–485k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	9k reviews Mixed	Great Soundtrack3D Platformer
Sun Haven 2023	Est. copies ≈ 636k–1.0M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	26k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
LOST EGG 2: Be together 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut	$2.99	263 reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Only Climb: Better Together 2023	Est. copies ≈ 86k–139k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Mixed	Precision Platformer3D Platformer