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How many copies did Snowman Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 142 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Snowman Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Snowman Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–24k
best case 140k (Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas)
Games like Snowman Story

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–24k copies

≈ $4k–$155k after Steam's cut

from ~188 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas at ≈ 106k–173k copies, ≈ $439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 59 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 189.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Action-Adventure, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soul's Spectrum
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$7.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
Mystery DungeonPuzzle
Ary and the Secret of Seasons
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$249k before Steam's cut
$39.99
221 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Oceanhorn: Monster of Uncharted Seas
2015
Est. copies
≈ 106k–173k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $797k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG
Ocean's Heart
2021
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$155k–$416k after Steam's cut $281k–$640k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction RPG
Oracle of Forgotten Testament
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
34 reviews
Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Ouroboros
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$4.99
155 reviews
Very Positive
ExperimentalTime Travel
THE GAME
2022
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$515–$1k after Steam's cut $937–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
38 reviews
Positive
CasualRPG
网瘾少年2005 Internet addicted youth 2005
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$1.99
484 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.