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How many copies did Ouroboros sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
from 155 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ouroboros and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ouroboros's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 368–7k
best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)
Games like Ouroboros

A typical game among these

≈ 368–7k copies

≈ $2k–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~15 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 138 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Experimental (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Atmospheric + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BioShock Infinite
2013
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
9722x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$76.0M–$204.4M after Steam's cut $138.2M–$314.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Very Positive
Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
11746x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
176k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
A Forgetful Loop
2020
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$15.99
11 reviews
Positive
ExperimentalPuzzle
Marginal act
2018
Est. copies
≈ 304–494
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$835–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
10 reviews
Mixed
AdventureHorror
Alt-Frequencies
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
288 reviews
Very Positive
IndieInteractive Fiction
Dodo Adventures
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$244–$660 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
$11.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Early AccessEducation
This rain will never end - noir adventure detective
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$12.99
19 reviews
Mixed
IndieExperimental
Starstruck: Hands of Time
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$164k before Steam's cut
$19.99
290 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmTime Travel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.