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How many copies did GRIDROAD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
from 436 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GRIDROAD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GRIDROAD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–94k
best case 796k (Mini Motorways)
Games like GRIDROAD

A typical game among these

≈ 58k–94k copies

≈ $376k–$523k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mini Motorways at ≈ 607k–986k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 313 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Simulation, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Minimalist + Indie + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Station to Station
2023
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$241k–$648k after Steam's cut $438k–$996k before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RAILGRADE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$261k–$703k after Steam's cut $475k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTrains
Mini Metro
2015
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyPuzzle
Mini Motorways
2021
Est. copies
≈ 607k–986k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategySimulation
Disassembly 3D
2017
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$94k–$254k after Steam's cut $172k–$391k before Steam's cut
$29.99
333 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Freeways
2018
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $168k–$382k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Fly Corp
2023
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$350k–$941k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
TransportationCasual
铁道物语:陆王(Railway Saga:Land King)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$38k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut
$9.99
474 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation

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