How much revenue did Bardbarian make?

$186k–$500k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bardbarian sell?

Q: How many copies did Bardbarian sell?

85k to 138k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 85k–138k; $186k–$500k after Steam's cut $338k–$769k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bardbarian and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bardbarian's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 48k–76k

best case 572k (Bad North: Jotunn Edition)

Games like Bardbarian

A typical game among these

≈ 48k–76k copies

≈ $150k–$255k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Bad North: Jotunn Edition at ≈ 436k–709k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 786 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Wargame + Vikings, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Over 9000 Zombies! 2015	Est. copies ≈ 74k–121k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut	$2.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeZombies
Bad North: Jotunn Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–709k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Very Positive	WargameVikings
Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap 2025	Est. copies ≈ 117k–191k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $967k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Tower DefenseThird-Person Shooter
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition 2023	Est. copies ≈ 95k–155k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $715k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Mixed	ActionTower Defense
Octogeddon 2018	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $101k–$272k after Steam's cut $184k–$418k before Steam's cut	$8.88	1k reviews Very Positive	ActionAction Roguelike
Marfusha:Sentinel Girls 2021	Est. copies ≈ 80k–130k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $175k–$472k after Steam's cut $319k–$726k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction Roguelike
Necrosmith 2022	Est. copies ≈ 133k–216k 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut	$2.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesAction Roguelike
Lumencraft 2023	Est. copies ≈ 32k–52k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $176k–$472k after Steam's cut $320k–$727k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationAction