How much revenue did Astrosphere make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Astrosphere sell?

Q: How many copies did Astrosphere sell?

347 to 564 copies, based on its 14 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 347–564; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 14 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astrosphere and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astrosphere's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 260k–353k

best case 1.0M (Dwarf Fortress)

Games like Astrosphere

A typical game among these

≈ 260k–353k copies

≈ $2.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dwarf Fortress at ≈ 783k–1.3M copies, ≈ $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 353 to 16k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Base-Building (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dwarf + Colony Sim, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Dwarf + Management + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Smalland: Survive the Wilds 2024	Est. copies ≈ 262k–425k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$34.99	11k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
The Infected 2020	Est. copies ≈ 174k–283k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $766k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$15.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
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Settlement Survival 2022	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderBuilding
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