How much revenue did RONIN make?

$429k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did RONIN sell?

Q: How many copies did RONIN sell?

120k to 195k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 120k–195k; $429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RONIN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RONIN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 517k–709k

best case 2.9M (Katana ZERO)

Games like RONIN

A typical game among these

≈ 517k–709k copies

≈ $4.1M–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Ninja (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Katana ZERO at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 749 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Ninja (4 of 8) and Stealth (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Precision Platformer, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry 2D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DDNet 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	47k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpFree to Play
Desperados III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 413k–671k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Real Time TacticsStrategy
One Finger Death Punch 2014	Est. copies ≈ 915k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action2D Fighter
Mark of the Ninja unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 394k–640k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Stealth Platformer
Katana ZERO 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsAction
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthStrategy
Aragami 2016	Est. copies ≈ 541k–878k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	StealthNinja
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge 2022	Est. copies ≈ 371k–603k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Beat 'em upMultiplayer