How much revenue did Monster Train 2 make?

$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Monster Train 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Monster Train 2 sell?

253k to 412k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 253k–412k; $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut; from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monster Train 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monster Train 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 146k–518k

best case 6.5M (Balatro)

Games like Monster Train 2

A typical game among these

≈ 146k–518k copies

≈ $1.2M–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Card Game (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Replay Value + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 28x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Cobalt Core 2023	Est. copies ≈ 109k–177k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	DiceRoguelike Deckbuilder
9 Kings 2025	Est. copies ≈ 580k–942k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRogue-like
Shogun Showdown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Replay ValueStrategy RPG
Alina of the Arena 2022	Est. copies ≈ 98k–160k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $738k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like
Wildfrost 2023	Est. copies ≈ 220k–357k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerDifficult