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How many copies did BattleCap sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
from 165 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BattleCap and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BattleCap's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–151k
best case 2.1M (HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition)
Games like BattleCap

A typical game among these

≈ 28k–151k copies

≈ $108k–$265k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (5 of 8) and 4 Player Local (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Sci-fi + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpCo-op
Blazing Beaks
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$312k–$839k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction Roguelike
Hyper Jam
2019
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$52k–$139k after Steam's cut $94k–$214k before Steam's cut
$12.99
504 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Shipped
2019
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$227k before Steam's cut
$9.99
694 reviews
Very Positive
Local Multiplayer4 Player Local
Sea King
2019
Est. copies
≈ 778–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
27 reviews
Positive
IndieNaval
It came from space and ate our brains
2015
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$70k–$187k after Steam's cut $127k–$288k before Steam's cut
$9.99
519 reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-Down ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
Nation Red
2009
Est. copies
≈ 176k–287k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$145k–$390k after Steam's cut $264k–$600k before Steam's cut
$2.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD
2017
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$140k–$377k after Steam's cut $255k–$580k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesTop-Down Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.