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How many copies did Agents of Mayhem sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 169k–274k
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Agents of Mayhem and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agents of Mayhem's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.5M–7.6M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Agents of Mayhem

A typical game among these

≈ 5.5M–7.6M copies

≈ $22.9M–$48.4M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime. The breakout hits carry Crime + Automobile Sim + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2015, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 61 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Just Cause 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Saints Row IV: Re-Elected
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.0M–$72.5M after Steam's cut $49.0M–$111.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Saints Row: The Third
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
83k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
POSTAL 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ViolentDark Humor
Just Cause™ 3
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction

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