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How many copies did Artificial Nexus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Artificial Nexus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Artificial Nexus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 978k–1.7M
best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)
Games like Artificial Nexus

A typical game among these

≈ 978k–1.7M copies

≈ $10.0M–$16.9M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter. The breakout hits carry Time Travel + Episodic + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
176k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Life is Strange: True Colors
2021
Est. copies
≈ 419k–681k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
SIGNALIS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 862k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
A Plague Tale: Requiem
2022
Est. copies
≈ 684k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.3M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$38.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction

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