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How big is M.A.R.S.?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 29k–47k
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid M.A.R.S. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including M.A.R.S.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–3.2M
best case 7.1M (World of Warships)
Games like M.A.R.S.

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–3.2M copies

≈ $5.7M–$10.4M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: World of Warships at ≈ 5.4M–8.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 883 to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (4 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Naval Combat + Co-op.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop
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Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Crossout
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
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70k reviews
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Third PersonGun Customization
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
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Free to PlayNaval Combat
Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerThird-Person Shooter
Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 906k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Looter ShooterOpen World
Zero Hour
2024
Est. copies
≈ 829k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
33k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalShooter
World of Tanks
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
101k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Infestation: The New Z
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
34k reviews
Mixed
ZombiesFree to Play

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