How much revenue did Sheltered make?

$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sheltered sell?

Q: How many copies did Sheltered sell?

261k to 425k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 261k–425k; $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sheltered and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sheltered's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–5.3M

best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)

Games like Sheltered

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–5.3M copies

≈ $54.1M–$63.7M after Steam's cut

from ~107k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Base-Building (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Voxel + Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kenshi 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut $53.3M–$121.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	117k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSandbox
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
This War of Mine 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	98k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalWar
Fallout Shelter 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	83k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBase-Building
Fallout 76 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	141k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldMultiplayer
State of Decay 2: Juggernaut Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.3M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Frostpunk 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	138k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Survival