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How many copies did Obliteracers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut
from 240 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Obliteracers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Obliteracers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 230k–366k
best case 2.6M (DiRT Rally)
Games like Obliteracers

A typical game among these

≈ 230k–366k copies

≈ $2.3M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: DiRT Rally at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Driving; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sonic & All-Stars Racing Transformed Collection
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RacingLocal Multiplayer
SpeedRunners
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRacing
Burnout Paradise: The Ultimate Box
2009
Est. copies
≈ 852k–1.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
TrackMania² Stadium
2013
Est. copies
≈ 423k–687k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMultiplayer
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Distance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RacingGreat Soundtrack
Horizon Chase Turbo
2018
Est. copies
≈ 181k–294k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
RacingArcade
GRIP: Combat Racing
2018
Est. copies
≈ 157k–255k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction

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