How much revenue did The Swindle make?

$128k–$343k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Swindle sell?

Q: How many copies did The Swindle sell?

31k to 50k copies, based on its 634 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 31k–50k; $128k–$343k after Steam's cut $232k–$528k before Steam's cut; from 634 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Swindle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Swindle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 176k–2.4M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like The Swindle

A typical game among these

≈ 176k–2.4M copies

≈ $998k–$12.7M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (7 of 8) and Heist (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
HITMAN™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction
PAYDAY™ The Heist 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	41k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Monaco: What's Yours Is Mine 2013	Est. copies ≈ 538k–875k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Stealth
Thief Simulator 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 170k–276k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $934k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth
American Theft 80s 2022	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $148k–$397k after Steam's cut $269k–$611k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionStealth
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 30x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
The Masterplan 2015	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $141k–$378k after Steam's cut $256k–$581k before Steam's cut	$19.99	524 reviews Mixed	HeistAction
Thief Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth