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How many copies did Hero-U: Rogue to Redemption sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–25k
$128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut
from 510 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hero-U: Rogue to Redemption and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hero-U: Rogue to Redemption's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.0M
best case 22.0M (Undertale)
Games like Hero-U: Rogue to Redemption

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.0M copies

≈ $11.4M–$22.0M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (7 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry RPG + Pixel Graphics + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
The Stanley Parable
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyNarration
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Henry Stickmin Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
60k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyMultiple Endings
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$18.6M–$50.0M after Steam's cut $33.8M–$77.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.