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How many copies did Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
from 187 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 373k–751k
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse

A typical game among these

≈ 373k–751k copies

≈ $1.8M–$10.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Parkour (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 78 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Parkour (4 of 8) and Ninja (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Action RPG + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun
2023
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$14.99
20 reviews
Mixed
Rogue-liteNinja
Sword With Sauce
2018
Est. copies
≈ 197k–319k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$270k–$725k after Steam's cut $490k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionParkour
Overgrowth
2017
Est. copies
≈ 313k–509k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
ActionParkour
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
56x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
not available
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
KUNAI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$70k–$188k after Steam's cut $127k–$289k before Steam's cut
$16.99
604 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
Shadow Warrior 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.7M–$26.1M after Steam's cut $17.6M–$40.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGore
Katana Rama
2023
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
32 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure

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