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How many copies did Dust Fleet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
from 233 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dust Fleet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dust Fleet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 168k–625k
best case 651k (LOCKDOWN Protocol)
Games like Dust Fleet

A typical game among these

≈ 168k–625k copies

≈ $1.6M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: LOCKDOWN Protocol at ≈ 496k–805k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (6 of 8) and Real Time Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Social Deduction + Conversation, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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