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How many copies did Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 318k–517k
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 247k–676k
best case 1.6M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)
Games like Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2

A typical game among these

≈ 247k–676k copies

≈ $1.9M–$10.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sci-fi (7 of 8) and Warhammer 40K (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade
2007
Est. copies
≈ 603k–980k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Warhammer 40,000: Battlesector
2021
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic
Crying Suns
2019
Est. copies
≈ 131k–213k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$902k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySpace
Space Hulk: Deathwing
2016
Est. copies
≈ 239k–389k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KAction
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$65k–$176k after Steam's cut $119k–$270k before Steam's cut
$19.99
413 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGCo-op
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada (Classic)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 253k–410k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Mixed
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Stellar Monarch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$162k before Steam's cut
$14.99
228 reviews
Very Positive

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