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How many copies did Flying Neko Delivery sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 818–1k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 33 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Flying Neko Delivery and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flying Neko Delivery's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–2.3M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Flying Neko Delivery

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–2.3M copies

≈ $18.8M–$49.9M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 31k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 73k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Flight (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Vehicular Combat + Combat + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Transport Fever 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 950k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationStrategy
DCS World Steam Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
73k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet
Microsoft Flight Simulator X: Steam Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
FlightSimulation
Rainy City: Pandemic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
30 reviews
Mostly Positive
FuturisticCyberpunk

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.