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How many copies did The Little Acre sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–60k
$132k–$356k after Steam's cut $241k–$548k before Steam's cut
from 891 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Little Acre and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Little Acre's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–7.2M
best case 13.8M (Paladins®)
Games like The Little Acre

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–7.2M copies

≈ $38.8M–$55.0M after Steam's cut

from ~142k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Paladins® at ≈ 10.5M–17.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 24k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (3 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hero Shooter + FPS.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slime Rancher
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut
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158k reviews
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CuteExploration
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free
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Hero ShooterFree to Play
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
1.6x vs typical
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Est. revenue
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$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Minion Masters
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Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut
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SandboxSimulation
Cult of the Lamb
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut
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130k reviews
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Base-BuildingCute
Trove
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SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free to PlayOpen World
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric

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