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How many copies did Codex of Victory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–22k
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $103k–$235k before Steam's cut
from 400 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Codex of Victory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Codex of Victory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 79k–311k
best case 4.9M (XCOM: Enemy Unknown)
Games like Codex of Victory

A typical game among these

≈ 79k–311k copies

≈ $187k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: XCOM: Enemy Unknown at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Tactical, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Tactical + Aliens; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Galactic Civilizations® II: Ultimate Edition
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3.0x vs typical
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Turn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Tactics
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Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
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2008
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2.3x vs typical
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XCOM: Enemy Unknown
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
34x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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X-COM: Apocalypse
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$83k–$224k after Steam's cut $152k–$345k before Steam's cut
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StrategyBoard Game

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