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How many copies did Super Space Pug sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$31k before Steam's cut
from 324 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Space Pug and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Space Pug's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 354k–702k
best case 2.2M (SUPERHOT)
Games like Super Space Pug

A typical game among these

≈ 354k–702k copies

≈ $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: SUPERHOT at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Bullet Time, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
BPM: BULLETS PER MINUTE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 283k–461k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Devil Daggers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 395k–643k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSDifficult
SUPERHOT
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Rabi-Ribi
2016
Est. copies
≈ 511k–830k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeMetroidvania
Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAnime
Dungeon Munchies
2022
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAction

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