How much revenue did Mini Thief make?

$54k–$145k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mini Thief sell?

Q: How many copies did Mini Thief sell?

39k to 64k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 39k–64k; $54k–$145k after Steam's cut $98k–$222k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mini Thief and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mini Thief's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 586k–5.1M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Mini Thief

A typical game among these

≈ 586k–5.1M copies

≈ $3.5M–$38.7M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 153k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crime (6 of 8) and Heist (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Schedule I 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 7.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Co-op
Monaco: What's Yours Is Mine 2013	Est. copies ≈ 538k–875k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Stealth
PAYDAY 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.6M–$55.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	66k reviews Mixed	HeistCo-op
PAYDAY™ The Heist 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	41k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
The Break-In 2025	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $357k–$961k after Steam's cut $650k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRMultiplayer
Thief Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth
Thief Simulator 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 170k–276k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $934k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth