How much revenue did Frost make?

$13k–$34k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Frost sell?

Q: How many copies did Frost sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 160 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut; from 160 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frost and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frost's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–204k

best case 822k (Shadowverse CCG)

Games like Frost

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–204k copies

≈ $83k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shadowverse CCG at ≈ 627k–1.0M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Deckbuilding (8 of 8) and Card Game (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Battler + Trading Card Game.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shadowverse CCG 2016	Est. copies ≈ 627k–1.0M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayCard Battler
Ratropolis 2020	Est. copies ≈ 137k–223k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $680k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	6k reviews Very Positive	2DDeckbuilding
WitchHand 2024	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$215k before Steam's cut	$11.99	636 reviews Very Positive	StrategyManagement
Tainted Grail: Conquest 2021	Est. copies ≈ 208k–338k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	DeckbuildingCard Game
Hodgepodge Hunch 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut	$4.99	159 reviews Very Positive	Social DeductionMultiplayer
Evolution Board Game 2019	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $53k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut	$14.99	450 reviews Very Positive	Board GameTabletop
天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) 2023	Est. copies ≈ 80k–129k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $996k–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-like Deckbuilding
Crop Rotation 2023	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $38k–$103k after Steam's cut $69k–$158k before Steam's cut	$9.99	560 reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Deckbuilding