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How many copies did UBOAT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 678k–1.1M
$5.6M–$15.0M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.1M before Steam's cut
from 27k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid UBOAT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UBOAT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 156k–240k
best case 7.1M (World of Warships)
Games like UBOAT

A typical game among these

≈ 156k–240k copies

≈ $902k–$2.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: World of Warships at ≈ 5.4M–8.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Naval (6 of 8) and Naval Combat (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Naval Combat + Co-op. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Action + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Mixed
Naval CombatNaval
Silent Hunter® III
2008
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$458k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $832k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Naval CombatSimulation
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
59x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
DEFCON
2006
Est. copies
≈ 274k–445k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$904k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$11.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalPvP
Battlestations Pacific
2009
Est. copies
≈ 165k–268k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
World War IIStrategy
Wolfpack
2019
Est. copies
≈ 61k–98k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$583k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationNaval Combat
Cold Waters
2017
Est. copies
≈ 163k–265k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationNaval Combat
NavalArt
2018
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $749k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
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