How much revenue did Fist of Physics make?

$5k–$12k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fist of Physics sell?

Q: How many copies did Fist of Physics sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 40 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut; from 40 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fist of Physics and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fist of Physics's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–33k

best case 89k (Creed: Rise to Glory™)

Games like Fist of Physics

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–33k copies

≈ $25k–$91k after Steam's cut

from ~194 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Creed: Rise to Glory™ at ≈ 68k–111k copies, ≈ $561k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the range was 35 to 86.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Boxing (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Boxing, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Real Boxing™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 81k–132k 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $112k–$300k after Steam's cut $203k–$461k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Mixed	SportsBoxing
VR SUPER SPORTS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$12.99	122 reviews Mixed	SportsAction
Victory Road 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut	$19.99	192 reviews Very Positive	SportsSimulation
World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$40k before Steam's cut	$12.99	108 reviews Mixed	BoxingManagement
Creed: Rise to Glory™ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $561k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	VRBoxing
Virtual Fighting Championship (VFC) 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $26k–$70k after Steam's cut $47k–$108k before Steam's cut	$15.99	195 reviews Mostly Positive	VRBoxing
Tactic Boxing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$119k before Steam's cut	$9.99	422 reviews Mostly Positive	BoxingPhysics
World Boxing Manager 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut	$4.99	136 reviews Mixed	StrategySimulation